loonpicks

PICKS DESK · ARCHIVE

The archive, and why nothing gets deleted from it

Every position that went up is still up. The aggregate below is computed over the whole set, because a record built from the good half is not a record.

THE WHOLE SET

240POSITIONS POSTED
0REMOVED AFTERWARDS
+1.8%MEDIAN GAP ON THE MARKET
54.2%POSTED AT A BETTER NUMBER
1uMEDIAN STAKE
2uLARGEST STAKE EVER USED

Computed across every position since the desk opened in 2026, not across a selection. 45.8% went up at a worse number than the market showed at that moment and they are counted here at full weight.

What an entry contains

FieldWhat goes in it
TimestampTo the minute, in ET, recorded when the position goes up
MarketDescribed generically: side, line type, and the sport
Price takenThe number we actually got, in decimal
Market medianWhat the rest of the board showed at that moment
GapThe difference between those two, as a percentage
StakeIn units. One unit is 1% of the desk bankroll
ReasoningOne sentence, written before the event, never edited after

There is no result column. That is the deliberate part: this site does not publish claimed outcomes of real fixtures, and a record built on prices rather than on results is the one that can be checked at the time it is made.

What an entry records

Timestamp to the minute. The market, described generically. The price taken. The market median at that moment. The stake in units. One line on the reasoning, written before the event rather than after it.

What an entry does not record is a narrative. The reasoning line is capped at a sentence on purpose, because a paragraph written afterwards is a paragraph that has been edited by the result.

Why the aggregate is a summary

Publishing a scrolling list of specific fixtures invites two problems. It reads as a claim about real events, which is not something a comparison site should be manufacturing. And it lets a reader anchor on whichever three rows are nearest the top.

So the archive publishes the shape of the record instead: how many positions, how they were staked, and where the prices sat against the market at the time. That is the information that would actually let you judge a desk.

How to audit any picks record, including this one

Ask for timestamps. A position without a time is a position that could have been written after the event.

Ask for the price taken, not the price available now. Those diverge fast and the difference is where most published records are manufactured.

Ask how many positions the record covers. Fifty is noise. Several hundred begins to be information.

Ask what happened to the losers. If the answer is vague, you have your answer. The same test is set out in what is a sports betting system.

Access

The archive is free, it is not gated behind an email address, and there is no upgrade tier. Nothing on this desk is for sale.

The site earns from the account links elsewhere on it, which is stated on every page carrying one. It does not change a price, a stake or an entry here.